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Registration Number

0218U005029, 0117U003932 , R & D reports

Title

Foresight-forecasting of the national economy stability: from the socio-ecological and economic contradictions to the convergent model

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Head

Lyulyov Oleksii Valentynovych,

Registration Date

07-02-2018

Organization

Sumy State University

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The object of research is a system of social, ecological and economic relations that appear through the transformation process from the existing (unbalanced) to convergent model of national economy sustainable growth. The research devoted to develop theoretical and methodological principles and tools for modelling and forecasting of socio-ecological-economic parameters (taking into account their interaction, synergy and diffusion effects) on the sustainability of the national economy. Methods of research - combination traditional and modern methods, taking into account the shortcomings of existing ones. The paper uses mathematical modelling with purpose to determinate the parameters of a national economy convergent which, unlike the existing, takes into account the basic principles of system dynamics and synergy. As a result of the work, the arrays of econometric data describing the social, ecological and economic conditions of the national economy were formed and optimized, which would allow constructing an economic and mathematical model for assessing the stability of the national economy. For the first time, along with a static indicator of macroeconomic stability, it is proposed to calculate its dynamic indicator, which will allow taking into account the nature of the key indicators trends of the model when constructing the corresponding state policy.

Product Description

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Вороненко В’ячеслав Ігорович
Ковальов Богдан Леонідович
Коробець Олена Миколаївна
Кубатко Вікторія Василівна
Люльова Лілія Юріївна
Мирошниченко Юлія Олександрівна
Пімоненко Тетяна Володимирівна
Павлік Анатолій Володимирович
Ус Яна Олександрівна
Шевченко Ганна Миколаївна

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2020-04-02