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Information × Registration Number 0121U110609, ( 0222U004358  ) R & D request Title Develop stochastic modeling methods to support epidemic security: forecasting and minimizing the risks of modern bio-threats. 1. Development and study of generalized SIR models that take into account the lag effects, and their adaptation to predict the development of epidemics. Development of approaches to assessing their risks Head Knopov Pavlo S., д.ф.-м.н. Registration Date 18-04-2021 Organization V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine popup.description1 The goal of the project is to create new methods of mathematical modeling to support the country's epidemiological security. This is due to the complex stochastic nature of epidemic processes, as well as their inherent incompleteness of information and uncertainty, which significantly reduce the effectiveness of traditional statistical methods. popup.nrat_date 2024-12-09 Close