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Information × Registration Number 0210U003441, 0108U000758 , R & D reports Title Prognostication of ekogeodinamic processes on the territory of Crimean peninsula with connection of climate change popup.stage_title Head Bokov Vladimir, Registration Date 09-02-2010 Organization National Tavrida V. Vernadsky University popup.description2 Working out of the forecasts ekogeodynamic processes on the territory of Crimean peninsula in connection with climate change. Project realization will include following points: 1. The analysis of the climatic, hydrological, geomorphologic and landscape data in Crimea last years (XIX - the XX-th centuries, in particular last 30-40 years) and data acquisition during supervision in 2008 - 2009 in a kind: - time numbers geomorphologic processes (landslips, water and wind erosion, a karst, dusty storms, abrasion); - time numbers of wreckers number in wood and agricultural crops, the natural centers of infections; - graphic and topographical models of dynamics ekogeodynamic processes in territory of Crimea in connection with possible changes of environmental conditions at several most probable scenarios; - Revealing of spatial and time parities of meteorological elements and landscape processes (by means of correlation, factorial and regress analysis, and also by means of the adaptive balance of the influences method - the ABS-method). 2. The analysis of anthropogenous processes in the XIX - the XX-th centuries, in particular last 30-40 years: - change of structure in the ground balance; - dynamics of a power component of anthropogenous influence; - change of structure of an economy. The analysis of change of external natural influences (first of all a climate), social and economic transformations, revealing ekogeodynamic trends and cycles. 4. Construction of models in the chain reactions caused in landscape systems by climatic changes and social-economic transformations, revealing of local spatial dynamics in the landscape structure. 5. The analysis ekogeodynamic processes at the local level (1:10 000), components of the radiating, thermal, water balances on the geotop basis. Construction of calculation models in the components of the radiating, thermal and water balances on the geotop basis. 6. Revealing of the prospects in use of renewed energy at various variants of climatic changes in the basic regions of the peninsula in various sites. 7. Definition of the changes in system of the managing, connected with climate changes and ekogeodynamic processes Product Description popup.authors Бобра Т.В. Глущенко І.В. Гончаров А.В Горбунов Р.В. Кальфа Т.Ф. Личак О.І. Парубець О.В. Смірнов В.О Снєгур А. Тімченко І.Є. popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close