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Information × Registration Number 0210U006530, 0108U002348 , R & D reports Title The development of the databases complex and data proceeding algorithms with gole of the system forecasting of the complex anthropogenous and nature system's behavior. popup.stage_title Head Zgurovsky Michael Zaharovich, Registration Date 30-09-2010 Organization Education-scientific complex "Institute of applied system analysis" popup.description2 The purpose of the work is the creation of the principles and tools for the global modelling of the processes of the steady development in three interconnected measurings (economical, ecological, social), development of the informational resource in kind of program-oriented toolkit complex of the quantitative and high-quality evaluation of the steady ecological-social-economical development. There is implemented the research of the system world conflicts influence on the steady development in the global and regional contexts. There is resulted the main global threats aggregate, which generate "conflict of XXI century" and defined the influence this threats on the steady development of different countries and regions of the world. On the base of the consideration of the evolutional civilization as a whole process, what is defined by the harmonic co-operation its components, it is resulted the проведено the comparison of the conformity to law of the sequence flow of the world economics development grand kondratievsky cycle and C - waves of the system world conflicts and there is made the attempt to forecast the flow of this periodical processes in ХХІ century on using the metrical approach. There are defined the quantitative evaluations of the influence of the global economic crisis, in its initial phase, on the main indexes of the steady development: index of the steady development, component of the people life safety, component of the people life quality. This evaluations give the possibility to receive the initial information about the most substantial losses of the countries from the influence of the economical crisis first wave and characterize the degree of there preparing or, conversely, the vulnerability to this influence. There is offered the indexes and indicators system, which characterize the steady development of Ukraine. On using the metrics to measure the steady development processes there is conducted the computer modelling and performed the comparative analysis of the steady development for all areas of Ukraine and towns of Kiev and Sevastopol. Product Description popup.authors Єфремов Констянтин Вікторович Аброськін Дмитро Анатолійович Блаженко Наталія Володимирівна Згуровський Михайло Захарович Маторина Тетяна Анатолієвна Панкратова Наталія Дмитрівна Пасічний Олексій Михайлович Переверза Катерина Володимирівна Прилуцький Дмитро Олексійович Явецький Юрій Олександрович popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close