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Information × Registration Number 0211U004909, 0108U007657 , R & D reports Title NUMERICAL FORECAST FOR THE REGIONAL CLIMATE OF UKRAINE BASED ON POSSIBLE SCENARIOS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES IN XXI CENTURY popup.stage_title Head Krakovska S., Кандидат фізико-математичних наук Registration Date 03-03-2011 Organization Ukrainian scientific research Hudrometeorological Institute popup.description2 Quantitative estimations of possible climate characteristics changes during 21st century based on an ensemble of 10 Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs) have been obtained for Ukraine and in Ukraine for the first time. Results of 84 model runs have been analyzed for three scenarios of projected human development and global distribution of green-house gases respectively: В1 - mild, А1В - balanced and А2 - hard scenarios. Projected annual surface air temperature and precipitation sum changes averaged over the territory of Ukraine respectively to modern climate have been received and analyzed. Seasonal parameters' analysis for all scenarios has shown that temperature increasing is expected for all seasons with the maximal rate of temperature rise in winter. Possible changes in an annual precipitation distribution with precipitation sums increasing in winter and spring and decreasing in summer and autumn have been found in forecasted data. Analysis of climate characteristics obtained from the regional model REMO for balanced scenario A1B during the 21st century has been carried out for Ukraine for the first time. That has allowed to detail projection of global models for the 21st century and to obtain some regional peculiarities of forecasted climate changes. Product Description popup.authors Гнатюк Наталія Володимирівна Дюкель Галина Олександрівна Краковська Світлана Володимирівна Паламарчук Людмила Василівна Шедеменко Ірина Павлівна popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close