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Information × Registration Number 0215U001600, 0114U007095 , R & D reports Title Forecasting of mudflow processes, using GIS technology and development of predictive models for Carpathians mudflow hazard popup.stage_title Head Chepurna Tetiana Bogdanivna, Registration Date 30-03-2015 Organization Ivano-Frankivsk Nstional Technical University of Oil and Gas popup.description2 Project is devoted to the actual problem of the space-time regional prediction of mudflows hazard. The methodology of space-time prediction of mudflows hazard by creating GIS predictive model is proposed. Using GIS technologies relevant and representative complex of significant influence spatial and time factors, that suggested to use in the regional prediction of mudflows hazard selected. Geological, geomorphological, technological, climatic, landscape factors selected as spatial mudflow factors. Spatial analysis is based on detection of the regular connection of spatial factor characteristics with spatial distribution of the mudflow centers. The function of a standard complex spatial index of the probability of the mudflow centers distribution calculated. The time long-term prediction of the mudflows activity is based on the hypothesis of the regular reiteration of natural processes. Heliophysical, seismic, meteorological, hydrogeological factors selected as time mudflow factors. The function of a complex index of long standing mudflow activity calculated. The prognostic geoinformatics model of the debris flow's hazard for the Carpathian developed. Product Description popup.authors Касіянчук Дмитро Васильович Кузьменко Едуард Дмитрович Мегидиник Леся Михайлівна Чепурна Тетяна Богданівна Чепурний Ігор Валерійович popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close