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Information × Registration Number 0215U003679, 0114U004076 , R & D reports Title The synthesis of the foresight and cognitive modeling methodologies to develop a strategy of the region innovative development - the first year to carry out the project. popup.stage_title Head Pankratova Natali Dmytrivna, Registration Date 13-03-2015 Organization Educational Scientific Complex "Institute for Applied System Analysis" of National Technical University of Ukraine "Kiev Polytechnic Institute" popup.description2 The object of research is an innovative development of the region on the basis of synthesis methodologies of foresight and cognitive modeling. The aim of the work is to develop approaches, models and methods of expert estimation, cognitive modeling, stability control of cognitive maps for scenario building of the innovative region development strategy. It is proposed an interdisciplinary approach to study the properties of complex system with enough complete and accurate information on regional and municipal levels, on using for the decision making in terms of integration processes in a scale of a country and a global system of socio-economic and political relations. The majority of problems of an economic, political, ecological character in these systems is classified as semi-structured and nonformalized in principle. The interdisciplinary approach is constructed as a synthesis methodologies of foresight and cognitive modeling based on an analysis of statistical data in a particular subject area. Multi-factor, multi-parameter, heterogeneous and semistructured information domain object of investigation used at various stages of foresight leads to difficulties related to the presentation of knowledge, the construction of the questionnaire forms, processing of results and consistent control of the foresight process as a whole. In order to effectively implement the process of scenario analysis in on-line there are developed the automated tools to except the knowledge, consistently distribute data streams, process and means of depth studied domains analysis with all the necessary factors. For a reasonable implementation of a scenario it is involved the cognitive modeling, which allows on the basis of knowledge and experience to build a cause-and-effect relationships, understand and analyze the behavior of a complex system and to offer evidence-based strategies to realize the priority scenario. Synthesis methodologies of foresight and cognitive modeling allows a comprehensive and evidence-based strategy to investigate the problem of innovative development of the region. Product Description popup.authors Макуха Михайло Павлович Малафеєва Людмила Юріївна Недашківська Надія Іванівна Панкратов Володимир Андрійович Панкратова Наталія Дмитрівна Романенко Віктор Демидович Савченко Ілля Олександрович popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close