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Information × Registration Number 0217U000008, 0115U000253 , R & D reports Title To develop the conception of reforming TB services in Ukraine popup.stage_title Head Melnyk Vasyl Michaylovych, Registration Date 05-01-2017 Organization Institute of tuberculosis and pulmonology named by F. G. Yanovsky popup.description2 Object - the official statistical reports, questionnaires of chief physicians of antituberculosis dispensaries. Aim - to improve the effectiveness of antituberculosis service in Ukraine on the basis of the conception reform. Methods - questionnaires, statistical. A prognosis of incidence and mortality from tuberculosis (TB) from 2015 to 2025 - considering reducing the incidence of TB for 10 years should expect a decrease in the incidence of all forms of active TB to 40,0 per 100000 of population with a high probability (R2 = 0,98), mortality may be reduced to 5,0 per 100000 population (low probability - R2 = 0,49).. When socio-economic conditions in Ukraine is worse than it is today, and/or overcoming HIV infection and/or the growth of drug-resistant TB the incidence of TB may be to increase to 2 times, and the mortality to 2,5 times. The basic factors influencing on the incidence and mortality from TB have been established. A number of legal acts of the Strategy and TB control technologies require processing, their shortcomings identified. The method of incidence and mortality from TB prognosis on the basis of modeling of their behavior using a polynomial of two stepped trend have been substantiated. Sphere of application - phthisiology Product Description popup.authors Ареф'єва Людмила Вікторівна Бушура Ірина Валеріївна Веселовський Леонід Вікторович Линник Микола Іванович Матусевич Валентина Георгіївна Мельник Василь Михайлович Нікіфорова Людмила Григорівна Новожилова Ірина Олексіївна Переверзева Людмила Миколаївна Приходько Алла Миколаївна Тарасенко Олена Ростиславівна Юхимець Володимир Олексійович popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close