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0220U103603,
0117U003932
,
Foresight prognostication of the sustainability of the national economy: from socio-ecological and economic contradictions to a convergent model
Liulov Oleksii V.,
26-10-2020
Sumy State University
The object is the system of socio-ecological-economic relationships that arise in the process of transformation from the existing (unbalanced) to the convergent model of sustainable growth of the national economy with using the tools for modelling and forecasting of socio-ecological and economic parameters (considering their interaction, synergy and diffusion effects) of the national economic stability. The main tasks: to substantiate from a scientific point of view the system of socio-ecological-economic phase and structural changes; assess the effectiveness of the mechanism for managing of the national economy sustainability; identify and summarize conflicts, gaps and contradictions between social, environmental and economic priorities of the country's development; to develop an economic-mathematical model to determine the optimal ratio of social, environmental and economic points-attractors, considering the principles of system dynamics; to developed a convergent model of the national economy considering the conditions of equilibrium of socio-ecological and economic parameters and minimizing the consequences of their divergence; foresight of socio-ecological-economic indicators of the national economy stability as three scenarios (optimistic, realistic and pessimistic) of transformation processes depending on the probability of exogenous and endogenous changes; to form a algorithm of actions for transition from the formed (unbalanced and with existing socio-ecological-economic contradictions) to the convergent model of development on the basis of data of economic-mathematical model and forecasting.
Zdoima Andrii D
Kovalev Bogdan L.
Korenieva Anastasiia D
Korobets Olena M
Kostornova Svitlana O.
Kuzmenko Olha Vitaliivna
Letunovska Nataliia Ye
Liulova Liliia Yu.
Makarenko Inna O.
Myroshnychenko Yuliia O
Nechyporenko Roman M.
Pimonenko Tetiana V
Pavlenko Mykyta S
Reshetniak Yaroslav V.
Us Yana O.
Ustynova Anastasiia S
Shaforost Yuliia V
2021-03-17
Updated: 2025-12-07
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