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Registration Number

0221U100631, 0119U103124 , R & D reports

Title

Sustainable development of the North-West Black Sea area: assessment of possible threats for environment and human health caused by anthropogenic pressure and climate change

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Head

Karamushka Viktor I., Кандидат біологічних наук

Registration Date

07-01-2021

Organization

National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy

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 Object of the research: North-Western Black Sea Coast of Ukraine (focus - on the territory of Kherson and Mykolayiv regions) - climatic conditions, the state of ecosystems (coastal strip, wetlands, steppe) and the state of health of the local population. Subject of research: Trends and features of climate change, their potential impact on natural ecosystems, public health and the region's economy. Objective: To identify and assess potential threats to the environment and health of the population of the North-Western Black Sea Coast caused by climate change and anthropogenic pressures. Main scientific results: The report presents the results of analysis of statistical data of meteorological monitoring of climatic indicators of the North-Western Black Sea coast for the period from the end of the XIX century, scientific data published in open scientific sources and remote sensing data. The established tendencies and features of climate change of the region for the last 100 years are described and scenarios of its evolution till 2050 are developed. The dynamics and factors influencing the level of the Black Sea are described, as well as the results of the analysis of the possible consequences of such changes for the coastal ecosystems of the region are presented. With the help of satellite observations, changes in the integrated indicator of ecosystem productivity (NDVI) of the southern districts of Kherson region and the northern districts of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea were established. Key words: North-Western Black Sea Coast, Black Sea, natural ecosystems, climatic conditions, climate change, anthropogenic load, population health.

Product Description

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2021-03-17