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Information × Registration Number 0221U102300, 0116U000729 , R & D reports Title To investigate the molecular-genetic and antigenic properties of B. anthracis for indicators that toksino- kapsuloobrazovaniya and improve measures to anthrax popup.stage_title Head Tarasov Oleksandr A, Registration Date 29-01-2021 Organization THE INSTITUTE OF VETERINARI MEDICINE OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF AGRARIAN SCIENCES OF UKRAINE popup.description2  Using multivariate analysis algorithms, prognostic models with varying degrees of reliability have been created, which can be used to predict possible anthrax outbreaks. For the first time in Ukraine, 936 sera of wild boars from 201 districts (201/490 of the total; 41.0%) were studied and 41 positive samples were detected (41/936; 4.38%, CI: 3.16 - 5.89) with 29 districts (29/201 14.4% of the studied districts), which confirms the persistence of the anthrax pathogen. Also, the prevalence was observed in the period from July to November (11.76 -12.5% ??seroprevalence). A cluster analysis of the assessment of the density of SNP from anthrax (n = 8927) in the territory of Ukraine was carried out according to the data for the period 1913-2020, and the risks of possible outbreaks of anthrax, provided by the ZINB regression model, were established. Fisher's exact test showed statistical significance (p value <0.05) for the difference in the layers of Ukrainian regions at the district level. During the reporting period, scientists have prepared scientifically based approaches to risk assessment based on a systematic multivariate analysis. According to the model, 3.72 (95% CI low = 1.42 high = 10.32) times more seropositive areas for anthrax than seronegative areas fall into the zone of average risk (Fisher's exact test, statistical significance p <0.05) Based on the studies, new knowledge on the ecological niche was obtained. anthrax pathogen in Ukraine and created a statistically reliable model. A scientific concept for improving antiepizootic measures and specific prevention of anthrax in Ukraine has been created. Product Description popup.authors popup.nrat_date 2021-01-29 Close