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Information × Registration Number 0221U104450, 0118U004428 , R & D reports Title Physical-statistical method of "floating analogue" for the long-range weather forecasting. popup.stage_title Head Martazinova Vazira F, Доктор фізико-математичних наук Registration Date 25-03-2021 Organization Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine and the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine popup.description2  The object of study is the similarity of atmospheric processes in the Northern Hemisphere. The aim of the work is to write a monograph "Physical and statistical method" floating analogue "for long-term weather forecast" according to scientific research of Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute. Research methods - statistical, mathematical modeling, decomposition by empirical orthogonal functions, the method of "floating analogue" for long-term weather forecasting. The first chapter presents a new calculation method for long-term detailed forecasting taking into account two-month quasi-periodicity based on an ensemble of analogues of synoptic processes. The second chapter shows results of the long-term monthly forecasts of temperature and precipitation during 2020. The success of forecasts can be seen in the forecasted and actual fields of temperature and precipitation over the territory of Ukraine. The third chapter contains the content of the written monograph "Floating analogue method and two-month quasi-periodicity of atmospheric processes for long-term weather forecast." The monograph consists of two parts, the first part presents the development of the method of "floating analogue" and the basics of the theory of two-month quasi-periodicity of the atmospheric circulation of the Northern Hemisphere. The second part presents a description of the model for detailed long-term monthly and seasonal weather forecasting. The proposed model described in this monograph is based on a principle of similarity of synoptic processes but avoided the traditional requirements of similarity over the same territory and requires only geometric similarity of two planetary high-altitude frontal zone and does not limit the coincidence of the processes in time and space, thus expanding the periodicity atmospheric processes in time and space in the Northern Hemisphere. This approach is called the “floating analogue” method. The similarity of atmospheric processes at the middle level o Product Description popup.authors popup.nrat_date 2021-03-25 Close