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Information × Registration Number 0221U107266, 0121U111848 , R & D reports Title Forecasting the total imbalance of electricity in the UES of Ukraine and its impact on the final cost of electricity popup.stage_title Head Blinov Ihor V., Доктор технічних наук Registration Date 30-12-2021 Organization Institute of Electrodynamics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine popup.description2  The analysis of the tariff scheme for the final consumer of electricity with the selection of components that have a significant impact on the solution of the problem of assessing the feasibility of the transition of the consumer to the hourly metering of electricity. Such components include the cost of purchasing electricity in the RDN segment and the cost of accrued imbalances. An experimental computer program for calculating the cost of electricity has been developed, which implements the given mathematical models for calculating the market value of electricity and retail prices for electricity consumers for options for consumers with hourly electricity metering and without hourly metering, as well as independent consumer participation in the wholesale market. Studies of the volume of electricity imbalances based on the results of the balancing market for the market zones of the UES of Ukraine and Burshtyn Energy Island in order to forecast their volumes. In the framework of studies of samples of electricity imbalances it was determined that the data are non-stationary random time series with high autocorrelation, so for their short-term forecasting it is advisable to use one-factor models based on autoregressive methods. Product Description popup.authors Blinov Ihor V. Miroshnyk Volodymyr O Sychova Viktoriia V Shimanyuk Pavlo V popup.nrat_date 2022-03-09 Close