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Information × Registration Number 0222U000967, 0121U010964 , R & D reports Title The complex method of probabilistic and forecasting modeling of extreme hydrological phenomena at the rivers of southern Ukraine to ensure sustainable water use under climate change popup.stage_title Head Ovcharuk Valeriya A, Кандидат географічних наук Registration Date 22-01-2022 Organization Odessa State Ecological University popup.description2  EXTREME RUNOFF, LOW FLOW, FLOODS, SPRING WATER, MODELING, FORECASTING, DROUGHT, CLIMATE CHANGE The object of research is the maximum and minimum runoff of medium and small rivers of the South of Ukraine (basins of the lower Danube, Dniester, Dnieper, Southern Bug, and Seversky Donets, Priazovye River). The purpose of the work is to study the formation of extreme high and low runoff of rivers in southern Ukraine in climate change and substantiate a comprehensive scientific and methodological basis for determining the probability and forecast runoff during floods and lows, which will assess hydrological and environmental risks and provide recommendations for taking into account the effects of climate change to improve socio-economic development and ensure sustainable water use in the study region. Research methods - theoretical analysis of hydrological processes and phenomena; statistical processing of hydrological characteristics; cluster analysis of climatic indicators; method of harmonic scales; geographical generalization of hydrometeorological quantities; spatial synoptic analysis of conditions for the formation of significant floods and long dry periods. The obtained results and their novelty - the analysis of physical and geographical conditions of formation of extreme (flood and low flow) runoff of rivers of the South of Ukraine in modern conditions of climate and water regime is carried out; carried out an analytical review and substantiated regional calculation and forecasting methods of hydrological regime of rivers on the basis of world experience in mathematical modeling of river runoff processes. Product Description popup.authors Blaha Anastasiia S Borovska Halyna O Volvach Oksana V Goncharova Ludmyla D Goptsiy Maryna V Horbacheva Liudmyla O Dokus Anhelina O Kichuk Nataliia S Kozlov Mykhailo O Kretov Andrii O Kushchenko Liliia V Loboda Nataliya S Martynyuk Maksim O Mykhailenko Vladyslav I Mostii Anastasiia S Ovcharuk Valeriya A Polovyi Anatolii M Prokofiev Oleg M Solontsov Andrii I Stratiichuk Olha V Tymko Olena S Tolmachova Alla V Khrystyuk Borys F Shakirzanova Zhanetta R popup.nrat_date 2022-03-09 Close