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Information × Registration Number 0223U000297, 0122U200267 , R & D reports Title Develop stochastic modeling methods to support epidemic security: forecasting and minimizing the risks of modern bio-threats. Stage 2. Development and research of stochastic models for optimal control on epidemic processes and methods of finding their solutions. popup.stage_title Head Knopov Pavlo S., д.ф.-м.н. Registration Date 06-01-2023 Organization V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine popup.description2 Object of research: Economic, ecological and technologically complex systems. Optimization and robust estimation problems, random Markov processes and fields, mathematical methods of estimating system risk, modeling of stochastic systems. Objectives: to develop a new mathematical apparatus and new mathematical methods for modeling and forecasting epidemic threats in conditions of risk and incomplete information. Research methods: Methods of nonlinear non-smooth analysis, convex and non-convex stochastic programming, methods of theory of random processes and fields, methods of forecasting and statistical evaluation. Results and their novelty: 1. Mathematical models were developed to optimize control over the behavior of stochastic epidemiological processes. 2. New dynamic models of multi-stage stochastic programming have been developed to assess the occurrence of epidemic threats. 3. Algorithms for finding optimal solutions for assessing the occurrence of epidemiological threats have been developed. 4. Software tools for finding optimal solutions in problems of epidemiological safety have been developed. 5. Numerical experiments were conducted to find optimal solutions in the problems of epidemiological safety.  Product Description popup.authors Ermolenko Lyubov I. Atoyev Constantine L. Bogdanov Oleksandr V. Kyrylyuk Volodymyr S. Kolesnik Yurii S. Норкін Volodymyr Ivanovych Samosonok Oleksandr S. Spyga Serhii P. popup.nrat_date 2023-01-06 Close