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Information × Registration Number 0223U000627, 0121U109764 , R & D reports Title Creation of an information-analytical situational center for scenario modeling of crisis and security phenomena and study of their impact on the economy and society popup.stage_title Head Zaichenko Yurii P., д.т.н. Registration Date 16-01-2023 Organization National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" popup.description2  A methodology for forecasting (foresight) the development of socio-economic systems is proposed, which applies the developed methods of ensuring consistency of expert and quantitative data, eliminating methodological and methodical uncertainty of models, intelligent analysis of big data, machine learning, methods of processing unstructured data, etc. The concept and architecture of the software and hardware complex of the Information and Analytical Situation Center was developed, which was then deployed in the Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute. Developed schemes of work processes for the development of management solutions and a service-oriented architecture of an open distributed heterogeneous information system were separately implemented. The Information and Analytical Situation Center integrates a set of developed services aimed at collecting and processing data, supporting the collective work of experts and decision-makers, building and configuring models, generating and verifying scenarios, etc. On the example of data on the spread of COVID-19, an apparatus for building scenarios was developed using neural networks of the "back propagation" type with different windows and hybrid neural networks. A number of studies have been conducted on the analysis of the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic and the study of its impact on the economy and social phenomena of Ukraine and the world at different time horizons (http://wdc.org.ua/en/covid19-project). As part of the work, foresight studies of the impact of the most dangerous threats on the state of national security of Ukraine were carried out. In particular, scenario models were built for the development of the energy cluster of Ukraine and the formation of geopolitical conditions, including conditions for the development of the defense industry. The conducted studies and their results were accompanied by the software tools of the Information and Analytical Situation Center. Product Description popup.authors Yefremov Kostiantyn Viktorovych Boiarynova Kateryna Oleksandrivna Dmytrenko Oleg Oleksandrovych Zaychenko Yurii Petrovych Zgurovsky Michael Z. Kravchenko Maryna O. Pyshnograiev Ivan Oleksandrovych Sobolev Artem Mykhailovych popup.nrat_date 2023-01-16 Close