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Information × Registration Number 2116U000403, Article popup.category Стаття Title popup.author Polovyi MykolaGadzhyieva Dilara popup.publication 01-01-2016 popup.source_user Донецький національний університет імені Василя Стуса popup.source https://r.donnu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/2027 popup.publisher Вінниця: ДонНУ імені Василя Стуса "Політичне життя" Description Стаття у науковому журналі "Політичне життя" ДонНУ імені Василя Стуса The paper assesses suitability of J. Davies’ model for simulation of short-term protest activity. The authors make an attempt to show proximity of J. Davies’ model and synergetic paradigm of the order parameter. The authors' modification of J. Davies’ model was given to display dissipative formation of short-term protest activity. Special role of current expectations and beliefs of population in formation of a protest was noted. In proposed modification of J. Davies’ model we offer to consider ratio of negative expectations and related political reality. The model is verified by materials of Ukrainian political process of the last two decades. In this article we show fundamental consistency between retro-prediction of the model and real course of protest activity processes in Ukraine. popup.nrat_date 2025-01-09 Close