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Registration Number

0209U008561, 0109U004702 , R & D reports

Title

Working out of a General Layout of Development of Kyiv and its Suburba Area till 2025. The Charter "The Komlex Analysis and the Prognosis of Demographic Development of Kyiv till 2026"

Head

Poznyak Aleksey, Кандидат економічних наук

Registration Date

20-10-2009

Organization

Institut for Demography and Social Researches of NAS of Ukraine

Description

Research object - the population of Kiev, city districts, including permanent inhabitants and non-register population Research goal - the development of the forecast of the Kiev and residential suburb population and its sex-age, educational and family structure Research method - general, statistical, economic and demographical methods are used. Emphasize on methods of extrapolation, expert estimation, using of simulation in the process of forecasts hypothesis development. Joining up of component method and standard method of age groups movement for calculating of population and its sex-age structure. Estimation of actual population is based on system approach. The analysis of the Demographic situation in Kiev is conducted, the actual assessment of population and its sex-age structure of the unregistered population is done, hypothesis of forecast of fertility, mortality, migration until 2025 are developed on its basis the estimation and forecast of number and sex-age structure of the population at the beginning of 2026 is carried out, on the basis of the previous developments the estimation of number of the Kiev suburb population and its composition is conducted, the forecast of family and educational composition of Kiev population until 2026 is carried out.

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Драгунова Тетяна Анатоліївна
Майданік Ірина Пертівна
Погода Тетяна Анатоліївна
Позняк Олексій Володимирович
Швидка Ганна Юріївна
Шевчук Павло Євгенович