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Information × Registration Number 0216U003909, 0111U002615 , R & D reports Title Mathematics Methodology and toolset of the economic process modeling with an allowance for risk popup.stage_title Head Vitlinskyj Valdemar, Registration Date 24-02-2016 Organization Kiev Vadima Getmana National Economic University popup.description2 Economic processes were investigated in the conditions of uncertainty and accompanying risk at all levels of the management hierarchy (at the macro, meso and micro levels). The aim of the research was to enhance the development of the methodologies and tools of the mathematical modelling of economic processes in the conditions of uncertainty and accompanying risk. The researchers used a system analysis; control theory and riskology; theory of fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic; the device of neural networks; nonlinear economic dynamics; synergetic economy; theory of qualitative analysis of ordinary differential equations; applied numerical analysis; methods of multivariate statistics and econometric modelling, the tools of Markov processes and queuing networks. As fieldwork researchers realized the idea of the creating complex models of economic processes under conditions of uncertainty on the basis of the theory of fuzzy logic and neural networks; the concept of a composite uncertainty; the concept of reversible cyclic nonlinear dynamics of economic processes that will improve the accuracy of forecasting the development of economic processes. In the course of research, there was found and confirmed the hypothesis concerning the nature of the adaptive non-linear economic processes which take place in modern economies. The significance and practical value of scientific results lie in the fact that the management of social and economic processes at various levels has the ability to improve through the use of the developed models. Product Description popup.authors popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close