Registration Number
0217U006598,
0117U004568
, R & D reports
Title
"Energy revolution scenario for Ukraine. Modelling and analysis of implementation impacts"
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Head
Diachuk Oleksandr,
Registration Date
11-10-2017
Organization
State Institution "Institute of Economy and Forecasting National Academy of Sciences of the Ukraine"
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In work, using economical and mathematical models (model TIMES-Ukraine and the calculated model of the general equilibrium of Ukraine) estimations of the wide use of renewable energy sources (RES) in meeting the demand for energy services and resources in Ukraine up to 2050 are presented, based on existing potential RES and technologies available on the domestic market (or those that may be presented in the short term). Three scenarios have been modeled on conservative, liberal and revolutionary development of energy technologies in all sectors of the economy and among the population. The liberal scenario shows that, in the face of perfect competition across the national energy market and its sectors, renewable energy, without the target policy of its development, will be sufficiently competitive compared to the traditional one. The revolutionary scenario envisages Ukraine's "energy transition" to renewable energy by 2050, in which the share of RES in the structure of final energy consumption will be 91%, with the annual costs of functioning of the energy system will be close to those in the baseline scenario. The revolutionary scenario is characterized by positive macroeconomic consequences, which is fully manifested in the medium and long term, including for domestic consumers.
Product Description
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Венгер В.В.
Дячук О.А.
Подолець Р.З.
Саприкіна Т.А.
Трипольська Г.С.
Чепелєв М.Г.
Юхимець Р.С.
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2020-04-02
