Registration Number
0221U101524,
0118U003569
, R & D reports
Title
Modeling and forecasting of the socio-economic-political road map of reforms in Ukraine for the transition to a sustainable growth model
popup.stage_title
Head
Vasylieva Tetiana A, Доктор економічних наук
Registration Date
22-01-2021
Organization
Sumy State University
popup.description2
The object of study - the system of integration of social, economic and political processes in the country in the transition to a model of sustainable growth. The purpose of the work is to form methodological bases and methodological tools for modeling and forecasting the relationship of social, economic and political reforms in Ukraine, scientific substantiation and development of a road map. During investigation authors used such methods and models as regression analysis, principal components method, structural modeling, center of mass method, distributive-lag modeling, autoregressive models, MAR-splines, panel regression models. The following new scientific and applied results were obtained during the research: a model for retrospective assessment of the sustainability of social, economic and political development of Ukraine; model for evaluating the effectiveness of instruments of state influence on the social, political and economic development of Ukraine; model for estimating "critical bifucation zones" of state intervention, beyond which systemic imbalances arise; developed a model for determining the convergent links between social, political and economic processes in the country; scientific approach to determine the level of stability of socio-economic and political relationships in the economy by applying the method of the center of mass; an optimization model to determine the ratio of integrated targets of socio-economic and political development necessary for sustainable growth; the model for estimating the impact of systemic risks on the indicators of socio-economic development of the country based on the construction of a vector-autoregressive model of error correction has been improved; a methodical approach to determining the transboundary impact on the concentration of systemic risk in the country by constructing multidimensional adaptive regressive MAR splines.
Product Description
popup.authors
Bagmet Ksiniya V.
Bozhenko Viktoriia V.
Boiko Anton O
Hryhorenko Olena V
Zaiats Anastasiia I
Kirilieva Anastasiia V
Kyrychenko Kostyantyn I
Kolotilina Olena V
Kostyuchenko Nadiya M
Kuzmenko Olha V.
Lopa Liliana V.
Mayboroda Tetyana M.
Minenko Serhiy V.
Mlaabdal Saady
Molotok Ihor F.
Moskalenko Bohdan A
Pavlik Vladyslav V
Perederii Tetiana A
Rubanov Pavlo M
Svitaylo Nina D
Susoyeva Larysa Yu
Tiutiunnyk Inna V
Shytikov Yehor S
popup.nrat_date
2021-01-22
