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0224U001115,
0122U001444
,
Improving the scientific basis for assessing the consequences of accidents in the transport of hazardous substances by road
Popov Oleksandr О., Доктор технічних наук
17-01-2024
State Institution "The Institute of Environmental Geochemistry of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine"
At stage 2 of the scientific work, as a result of the analysis of information and literary sources, it is shown that the existing methods of assessing the consequences of chemical accidents, which are associated with the transportation of hazardous substances by road transport, due to their significant shortcomings (neglecting the nature of the underlying surface; absorption of accident-chemical hazardous substances (ACHS); spill area parameters of various ACHS; use of a mathematical apparatus obtained only empirically; use of insufficiently accurate Gaussian-type models to determine the level of atmospheric air pollution; use only at stationary chemically hazardous facilities; do not allow to calculate the risks of such emergency events and for the health of the population) cannot be used to solve the problem. New mathematical tools have been developed that allow determining the area of the affected area, forecasting changes in its scale, and assessing risks to public health as a result of such emergency situations. These mathematical tools, unlike the existing ones, take into account the parameters of the car movement, the speed of the driver's reaction, the parameters of depressurization of the tank, the nature of the underlying surface and the parameters of the buildings in the affected area, the average daily distribution of the urban and rural population by place of residence. The high accuracy of the proposed mathematical tools is confirmed by comparison with the data of natural measurements and the results of calculations using other methods. Further implementation of the developed mathematical support in the form of software tools will be an effective tool for solving the problems of preventive forecasting and prompt response to emergency situations associated with the release of such substances into the environment during their transportation by road transport. The results of work on stage 2 have been implemented in the State Emergency Service of Ukraine.
Artemchuk Volodymyr O.
Vovk Oksana O.
Zaporozhets Artur O.
Kovalenko Oleksandr Mykolayovych
Krasnov Yevhen B.
Kutsenko Volodymyr O.
Lahoiko Anastasiia M
Martynyuk Iryna D.
Myrontsov Mykyta L.
Pylypchuk Ievhen V.
Skurativskyi Serhii I.
Sulyma Anna P
Taranenko Stanislav P.
Iatsyshyn Andrii V.
Yatsyshyn Teodoziia M.
2024-01-17
Updated: 2025-12-07
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