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Information × Registration Number 0224U032599, (0123U103549) , R & D reports Title Youth Migration Losses: Simulation Technique and Scenario Forecasting in the Context of Preserving Human Potential for the Post-War Reconstruction of Ukraine popup.stage_title Моделювання та прогнозування перебігу зовнішніх міграційних процесів молоді та розробка дорожньої карти збереження людського потенціалу як ключового ресурсу для повоєнної відбудови України. Head Vasyltsiv Taras H., д.е.н. Registration Date 25-11-2024 Organization Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine popup.description1 To develop and test the tools for economic-mathematical modelling and forecasting of Ukrainian youth migration losses, which will allow substantiating the mechanism and means of the policy of regulating the migration process in the context of preserving the human potential necessary for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine popup.description2 Report on the GDR: 143 p., contains 7 chapters, 11 figures, 3 tables, 4 appendices, 25 pages. The object of the study is the migration processes of Ukrainian youth and the loss of Ukraine's human potential. The purpose of the work is to develop a toolkit for economic and mathematical modeling and forecasting of migration losses of Ukrainian youth, which will allow to justify the mechanisms and means of the policy of regulating migration processes in the context of preserving the human potential of Ukraine. Research methods – causal, factor and content analyses; semantic, causal and systemic analysis; stochastic modeling of panel data using the method of random/fixed values ​​using Granger tests and the method of fuzzy logic; factor and comparative analysis, integral and index assessments; the Principal Components method and the temporal-spatial approach; sociological research and fractal modeling method; statistical and comparative analysis; SVAR method, VAR modeling, neural network modeling; data envelopment method (DEA); the "Gantt chart" method; game modeling (Brown-Robinson method); methods of institutional, systemic and structural-functional analysis. Results and their novelty: for the first time: methodological principles for analyzing the course of youth migration processes and their impact on socio- economic development and national security of the state, the ability of the national economy to recover have been developed; improved: methodological and applied principles of research on the interrelationships of the migration aspirations of young people and the preservation of the resource potential of the state; toolkit of state youth policy in the context of social protection and youth development.  Implementation of the results of the GDR. The results of the study were implemented in the activities of the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine, the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine, the Ministry of Development of Communities and Territories of Ukrai Product Description popup.authors Ivaniuk Uliana V. Iliash Olha I. Baraniak Ihor Ye. Levytska Olha O. Leshchukh Iryna V. Lupak Ruslan L. Melnyk Mariana I. Fleichuk Mariia I. popup.nrat_date 2024-11-25 Close