Registration Number
0224U032599,
(0123U103549)
, R & D reports
Title
Youth Migration Losses: Simulation Technique and Scenario Forecasting in the Context of Preserving Human Potential for the Post-War Reconstruction of Ukraine
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Моделювання та прогнозування перебігу зовнішніх міграційних процесів молоді та розробка дорожньої карти збереження людського потенціалу як ключового ресурсу для повоєнної відбудови України.
Head
Vasyltsiv Taras H., д.е.н.
Registration Date
25-11-2024
Organization
Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine
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To develop and test the tools for economic-mathematical modelling and forecasting of Ukrainian youth migration losses, which will allow substantiating the mechanism and means of the policy of regulating the migration process in the context of preserving the human potential necessary for the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine
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Report on the GDR: 143 p., contains 7 chapters, 11 figures, 3 tables, 4
appendices, 25 pages.
The object of the study is the migration processes of Ukrainian youth and the
loss of Ukraine's human potential.
The purpose of the work is to develop a toolkit for economic and mathematical
modeling and forecasting of migration losses of Ukrainian youth, which will allow to
justify the mechanisms and means of the policy of regulating migration processes in
the context of preserving the human potential of Ukraine.
Research methods – causal, factor and content analyses; semantic, causal and
systemic analysis; stochastic modeling of panel data using the method of
random/fixed values using Granger tests and the method of fuzzy logic; factor and
comparative analysis, integral and index assessments; the Principal Components
method and the temporal-spatial approach; sociological research and fractal modeling
method; statistical and comparative analysis; SVAR method, VAR modeling, neural
network modeling; data envelopment method (DEA); the "Gantt chart" method; game
modeling (Brown-Robinson method); methods of institutional, systemic and
structural-functional analysis.
Results and their novelty: for the first time: methodological principles for
analyzing the course of youth migration processes and their impact on socio-
economic development and national security of the state, the ability of the national
economy to recover have been developed; improved: methodological and applied
principles of research on the interrelationships of the migration aspirations of young
people and the preservation of the resource potential of the state; toolkit of state
youth policy in the context of social protection and youth development.
Implementation of the results of the GDR. The results of the study were
implemented in the activities of the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine, the
Ministry of Economy of Ukraine, the Ministry of Development of Communities and
Territories of Ukrai
Product Description
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Ivaniuk Uliana V.
Iliash Olha I.
Baraniak Ihor Ye.
Levytska Olha O.
Leshchukh Iryna V.
Lupak Ruslan L.
Melnyk Mariana I.
Fleichuk Mariia I.
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2024-11-25
