Registration Number
0225U002601,
(0123U102067)
, R & D reports
Title
Forecasting Ukraine's security environment in the political sphere
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Політична безпека України: проблеми політичного і державного правління. Прогнозна оцінка, механізми забезпечення.
Head
Rafalskyi Oleh O., Доктор історичних наук
Registration Date
20-03-2025
Organization
Institute for Political and Ethnonational Studies. IF Kuras NAS of Ukraine
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The purpose of the work is heuristic modeling of the domestic and foreign political situation in which Ukraine may find itself in the coming years based on the results of the war and its general stage. In accordance with this, such issues as Ukraine's readiness to integrate into the geopolitical space as, if not an independent, then influential player, its opportunities to find real geostrategic partners among Western countries, the choice of the most effective foreign policy tactics of Ukraine in the system of competitive geopolitical competitions, should be considered. the prospects of Ukraine acquiring civilizational characteristics as a political entity that meet European criteria, the presence of which would open the country to the prospect of real entry into the European community.
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The authors undertook the task of identifying possible developments in those areas on which the security of political and public administration in Ukraine depends. The study is based on a number of assumptions that arise from the analysis of the development of the political process in Ukraine in recent years. The author analyzes the threats to Ukraine's possible authoritarian prospects, which are exacerbated by the specifics of martial law, and outlines potential measures to prevent them - restoration of a full-fledged system of social elevators, re-institutionalization of the party system, strengthening of political responsibility of MPs, finalization of the mechanism of checks and balances in the branches of power, achievement of subsidiarity of social space, etc. The authors conclude that excessive centralization has a negative impact on the development of regions. The study contains a number of other equally relevant recommendations for preventing predictable negative situations in the media sphere, cultural and educational policy, social work, etc. Considering the scenario of preserving the UOC-MP in the religious space of the country, the authors rightly warn of the potential danger of ignoring a large enough number of its supporters, of granting one of the churches, even a nationally oriented one, a monopoly on spiritual pastoral care. An analysis of the development of Ukraine's ethno-political sphere shows that there are no trends in it that are destructive to the political order in the country. At the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of tension in the ethnopolitical situation over language issues, interpersonal relations, etc.
Product Description
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Zelenko Halyna I.
Kalakura Oleh Ya.
Kondratenko Oleh Yu.
Maiboroda Oleksandr M.
Nikolaiets Yurii O.
Perevezii Vitalii O.
Shaihorodskyi Yurii Zh.
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2025-03-20
