Registration Number
0225U001322,
(0123U100478)
, R & D reports
Title
Psychological foundations of forecasting scenarios of development of the social situation in Ukraine
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Концептуальний. Визначення соціально-психологічних індикаторів прогнозування; концептуалізація та розробка соціально-психологічних моделей прогнозування.
Head
Zhovtyanska Valeria V., Доктор психологічних наук
Registration Date
29-01-2025
Organization
Institute of Social and Political Psychology of the National Academy of Pedagogical Sciences of Ukraine
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Justification of socio-psychological foundations of forecasting possible states and prospects of development of the social situation in Ukraine.
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Conceptual bases, methodological and methodological tools for forecasting scenarios for the development of the social situation in Ukraine have been produced. Social and psychological models and technologies aimed at forecasting the development of various aspects of the social situation are presented: political and ideological, economic, social, mental health.
A technology for forecasting the directions of social development for the medium term (up to 5-7 years) has been produced. The technology makes it possible to identify trends in the development of socio-political processes in society, the reasons that determine this development. The implementation of this technology involves conducting focus group and mass surveys.
A tool for identifying models of economic behavior of respondents in an emergency situation has been produced and tested, as well as a method for forecasting probable scenarios of economic behavior. Based on the results of an empirical study, the typology of models of economic behavior of Ukrainians has been clarified.
A number of factors have been identified that influence the social cohesion of the Ukrainian population in wartime. The hypothesis that the formation of a common identity is the key factor is confirmed. To reduce intergroup tension, it is recommended to promote the development of flexible identities that take into account the multi-level belonging of people to different groups.
The prospects of using a holistic approach in the field of mental health have been substantiated. The stress factors caused by the war have been analyzed, as well as the factors that contribute to the adaptation of the Ukrainian population to them.
The concept of societal dynamics of trauma has been proposed. The concept is aimed at predicting and preventing social problems associated with destructive ways of coping trauma, protecting against the traps of discord, divisions and separations, which are factors of factors of negative social consolidation.
Product Description
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Brodiuk Serhii V.
Zhovtianska Valeriia V.
Kukharuk Olha Yu.
Malkhazov Oleksandr R.
Stadnyk Volodymyr A.
Sushyi Olena V.
Fiskovych Sofiia Ye.
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2025-01-29
