Registration Number
0220U001151,
0117U002425
, R & D reports
Title
Development of components for the national system of marine forecasts in Ukraine
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Head
Tuchkovenko Yurii Stepanovich,
Registration Date
29-01-2020
Organization
The Odessa State University of Ecology
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Aim of the study: restoration of the leading-edge national maritime forecasting system of Ukraine through the development and implementation of the new methods for operational prediction of hydro-physical parameters of the marine environment in the Ukrainian part of the Sea of Azov - the Black Sea basin and the new approaches to the sea ice regime forecasts, with special attention given to the Ukrainian ports areas. Methods of research: numerical hydrodynamic prediction models, which describe oceanographic processes in a marine environment; spectral model of wind waves; physico-statistical methods of predicting the ice conditions of the sea. The results given in this report cover: (1) the verification of the prognostic ability of updated and improved physical and statistical methods for medium-term forecasting of ice appearance dates and ice clearing phenomena, long-term forecasts of winter severity in the ports of the Ukrainian part of the Azov-Black Sea basin; (2) verification and validation (testing in the prognostic mode) of the author's 2D numerical hydrodynamic model (for sea level fluctuations prediction) and the package of coupled numerical models Delft3D-FLOW + SWAN (for the operational forecasting of wind-induced currents, wind waves and sea level fluctuations), using weather forecast data from the GFS global atmospheric model; (3) description of the developed graphical user interfaces, scientific and technical manuals, which explain applied predictive methods (including approaches to forecasting the ice phenomena) to be used in operational forecasting practice; (4) assessment of the possibilities and advantages of using the HARMONIE numerical mesoscale atmospheric model to produce the operational forecasts of meteorological parameters over the sea. The Sea of Azov - the Black Sea basin; maritime forecasts, modelling
Product Description
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Іванов С. В.
Амелін Л.М.
Гаврилюк Р.В.
Кушнір Д.В.
Матигін О.С.
Наконечна Н.А.
Тучковенко О.А.
Тучковенко Ю.С.
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2020-04-02
