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Information × Registration Number 0215U001582, 0114U005027 , R & D reports Title Modernization of control system for socio-economic development of regions (II stage: Monitoring and forecasting socio-economic development of regions) popup.stage_title Head Kyzym Mykola Oleksandrovych, Registration Date 23-03-2015 Organization Research Center of Industrial Problems of Development of the National Academy of Sciences, of Ukraine popup.description2 The main aim of the second phase of the study is to create monitoring and forecasting system of early warning indicators of negative socio-economic phenomena in regions development of Ukraine for their in time elimination. Basing on the analysis of existing Ukrainian and world techniques and approaches to monitoring of socio-economic development of economic systems at different levels of the hierarchy, in particular, regions, there were identified shortcomings of the systems of monitoring indicators. Conceptual bases of development and functioning of the monitoring system as an integral part of the control system of socio-economic development of regions was proposed. A system of key indicators of socio-economic development of the regions of Ukraine for operational monthly and quarterly monitoring, which covers the main areas of regional development was developed. There was created the database of socio-economic development indicators of the regions of Ukraine for 2003-2014 years. The analysis of used forecasting methods of socio-economic development of regions in domestic and world practice showed their major shortcomings in terms of the formation of proactive management, prevention of adverse events. The analysis of modern approaches to the construction of early warning systems showed that such systems are not used at the regional level, but are promising for the management of regional development. Basing on the analysis of trends of regional economic and using of leading indicators approach there were determined cycles of economic development for the regions of Ukraine, turning points of cycles were identified and their periodization was held. It is shown that the process of contagion in regions of Ukraine is quite fast and covers most regions immediately. The system of composite indexes of leading, coincident and lagging indices of economic development is constructed, which allow to identify trends in the nearest forecasting period. The components of key indicators and composite indices for the first half of 2015 for the Kharkiv region were forecasted; it is shown that the situation will be deteriorated and stabilization phase or the beginning of growth in the economic development of the region has not come yet. The forward-looking proposals on future directions of research is to create a system of continuous monitoring, assessment, diagnosis and prediction of socio-economic development of regions based on key current and leading indicators of regional development. Product Description popup.authors Іванов Юрій Борисович Вещипан Ольга Олександрівна Кизим Микола Олександрович Леванда Олена Михайлівна Полякова Ольга Юріївна Семигуліна Ірина Борисівна Ярошенко Ігор Васильович popup.nrat_date 2020-04-02 Close